Published Published: July 12, 2019 Updated Updated: August 5, 2019

Betting on Politics in the United Kingdom: Donald Trump

If you have never heard of betting on politics before, then this article could come as quite the surprise to you. Today, we are going to be exploring the world of betting on politics with a focus on the US president, Donald Trump. In the United Kingdom, we can place a Trump bet on things like whether or not he will be impeached, the next election and even what he will say when he visits our own country.

An Introduction to Betting on Politics

Political betting markets are currently flourishing around the world and it comes as no great surprise that they are when we take a look at the media and how political events are presented. People can now really get a feel for what is happening in the political landscape, and both specialist bookmakers and high street bookmakers are more than happy to try to take advantage of that situation by offering a series of desirable bets.

In the United Kingdom, we have been able to place bets on everything from the outcome of the last election to the outcome of Brexit. With Sky Bet, we can currently bet on who the next permanent Conservative leader of our own country will be, with odds of 1/20 on Boris Johnson and odds of 9/1 on Jeremy Hunt. We can also bet on when the next general election will be held and which political party will hold the most seats.

When you are betting on politics, there are three main types of bets that you can place: 

Betting on the Prediction Market

When you are betting on the prediction market, you are usually betting on the official outcome of an event that has not happened yet. Ask yourself, will Donald Trump be the next Republican candidate? This question can only really have a yes or a no answer. Betting on a question like this would be betting on the prediction market.

Bookmakers can track trends and research public opinion in order to work out how popular individuals are to know where to hedge their bets when it comes to the outcome. Even when betting on political events was illegal in other countries, a lot of them still allowed prediction betting for future events. This is because researchers could then use the information collected to get an idea of what the public collective was thinking about specific candidates.

Placing Online Bets

A lot of different online specialist bookmakers offer a number of political props that you can bet on. Some of these are ridiculous, and some will more than likely actually happen.

Right now, they include the odds on specific people winning the next presidential primary and presidential election, the outcome of the vote in specific states and what the candidates may or may not do during the election process. For example, you might be given the opportunity to bet on which phrases Donald Trump will use during the next election. Or, what tweets might be posted on his Twitter account.

Making a Novelty Bet

In the United Kingdom, you will also have the opportunity to place novelty bets. These should never be taken too seriously, as a lot of them are more for fun than winning money. For example, with the Betfair Exchange, you can currently bet on whether or not Donald Trump will win a Nobel Peace Prize this year, whether or not he will be impeached and what his official exit date will be.

Those might seem quite normal, and they are when compared to some of the other bets that are been offered on the specials market. With Paddy Power, you can currently bet 100/1 on the Queen banning Donald Trump from entering the United Kingdom, 50/1 on Donald Trump receiving a joint Nobel Peace Prize with Putin, 500/1 on him painting the White House gold and 50/1 on him outlawing the Theory of Evolution.

Try to remember that these bets are about having fun, and not necessarily about winning money. Having said that, some people have won big on unpredictable specials bets in the past.

Donald Trump

Naturally, betting on the things that Donald Trump does and says is a little bit different to betting on the events of UK-based politics. Donald Trump is quite an unpredictable character, known for his Twitter outbursts and lewd comments.

It’s safe to say that, as British people, a lot of us struggle to understand how Donald Trump still holds the most coveted position in the United States and why people voted for him to be there. The novelty bets that we can place directly relate to this, as they are tied to our understanding of US politics and our viewpoint on the current situation.

Betting Markets: Donald Trump

Now that you know what types of bets you can place on Donald Trump and politics in general, we’re going to take a deeper look into some of the specific bets that you can place:

Trump Impeachment Bet

If you are thinking about placing a Donald Trump bet, then betting on whether or not you believe that the current president will be impeached could be a good starting point. A Trump impeachment bet is something that you can place with a number of specialist bookmakers and high street bookmakers, so we would advise that you focus on the betting Trump impeachment bet odds when you are choosing one.

At the start of Trump’s presidency, the odds for Trump being impeached were stacked. As his presidency has progressed, they have slipped further and further away. Paddy Power now has odds of 5/2 on Donald Trump being impeached during his first term. They also have odds of 6/1 on Donald Trump resigning.

US Presidential Election 2020 Bet

If we take a look at the odds that are currently being offered on the US presidential election, we can see that Donald Trump is a firm favourite with the bookmakers. With Sky Bet, he has odds of 11/10 and is followed by Kamala Harris at 9/2, Elizabeth Warren at 8/1, Joe Biden at 10/1 and Bernie Sanders at 16/1.

If you are thinking about betting on the outcome of the next election, then we would advise that you watch the bookmakers carefully. Note down all of the odds that they are offering, track how they change and make sure that you look at the odds that are also being offered by different bookmakers.

Republican Candidate Bet

It will come as no surprise to most people that Donald Trump appears to be a firm favourite when it comes to who the next Republican candidate will be. Donald Trump currently has odds of 1/8 with Sky Bet and is followed by Mike Pence at 25/1, John Kasich at 40/1 and Nikki Haley at 40/1.

Right now, we can clearly see that it looks like Donald Trump will be the next Republican candidate and that that looks like a safe bet to place. But, you have to remember that the next Republican candidate won’t be announced until the 2020 Republican National Convention. Chances are, Donald Trump could do, say or tweet something that would ruin his chances of being the next Republican candidate.

Try to remember that when you are betting on the world of politics, it just takes one event for things to swiftly change.

Buzzword Bingo with Donald Trump

Every time Donald Trump visits the United Kingdom, Ladbrokes offer bets on what he will and won’t say during his press conferences in the form of “Buzzword Bingo”. With Buzzword Bingo, you have to pick the exact words or phrases Donald Trump will say during a press conference.

During his June visit this year, options included “fake news”, “witch hunt”, “Brexit”, “Sadiq Khan” and “Russia”. If you are thinking about placing this type of bet, then we would actually recommend you look at his Twitter account to see what words are on his mind. We all know that he shares whatever he wants to on there.

Novelty Trump Bets

There are also a number of different novelty bets that you can place on Donald Trump’s current term as president. Paddy Power is offering people the chance to bet with odds of 200/1 on the idea that Melania could potentially run for president against Donald Trump in 2020. The same bookmaker is also offering 20/1 odds on Trump announcing that alien lifeforms exist during his presidency.

If you are looking to make money with your bets, then we would probably recommend that you steer clear of Paddy Power’s 300/1 on Donald Trump granting dual nationality to all Mexicans, or their 66/1 on any Mexican airport being named after the current president. Surprisingly, this means that the bookmakers actually think it’s more likely that Donald Trump will re-open Alcatraz as a working prison, with odds of 14/1 being offered on the concept.

Donald Trump Betting Odds

If we take a look at the odds that are currently being offered on Donald Trump bets, we can see that he appears to be a firm favourite when it comes to who the next Republican candidate will be and who will win the next election. The next election won’t be held until 2020, so there is still plenty of time for these odds to change and shift with current events.

We think that you should be careful if you are looking to bet on the outcome of something that won’t happen for another year, because it’s almost impossible to tell whether or not anything will happen in that time that will change it. We know that he wants to commence a re-election bid, but it’s quite difficult to tell whether or not he will do anything before the election that will destroy his chances.

Increasing your Odds

If you want to increase your own odds, then we would highly recommend that you do as much research as possible and keep your eye on the political landscape. If Republican followers start to visibly prefer another candidate to Donald Trump, then whether or not he will be named as the next Republican candidate could be quite hit and miss.

During your research, you should try to get a feel for the opinions of the general public, the things that Donald Trump is doing and whether or not he is doing anything that could ruin his future chances.

Picking a Bookmaker

Once you know what type of bet you want to place, we would highly recommend that you shop around to see which bookmaker is offering the best odds. If you are looking to place a novelty bet, then we would recommend that you take a look at Paddy Power as they are known for their list of fun novelty bets.

Sky Bet and Ladbrokes offer a number of “more serious” political bets and you could spend some time betting on the political events of our own country whilst you are waiting for things to happen over in the United States.

Yes, you can bet on Donald Trump winning the next presidential election. At this moment in time, he appears to be a firm favourite.

Yes, you can place novelty Trump bets. These range from Trump revealing the fact that aliens exist to him painting the exterior of the White House gold. Try to remember that these bets are usually just for fun, and it’s unlikely that you will win a lot of money from them.

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<p>If you are looking to make money by betting on Trump, then we would highly recommend that you do as much research as possible. Try to get a feel for public interest, as public interest is what often decides the outcomes of elections and who will be named as running candidates.<br></p>
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<p>At the time of writing, Donald Trump appears as though he is going to be named as the next Republican candidate and he is a firm favourite to win the next presidential election.<br></p>
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<p>No, there are no reputable bookmakers in the United Kingdom who will give you the opportunity to bet on whether or not Donald Trump will be assassinated during his presidential term. This is because reputable bookmakers know that placing a bet on whether or not someone will die simply isn’t good taste and they have both morals and standards.<br></p>
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<p>Unfortunately, these bets are offered by cryptocurrency market Augur. Augur is quite unique as it enables users to bet against other users.<br></p>
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