Premier League Odds, Tips and Live Streaming | Matchday 16 | 10th to 12th December 2021

Dominic Gambling industry professional of more than a decade, turned full-time content creator. Sheffield United supporter, for my sins.
Updated Updated: December 10, 2021

It’s all change at the top of the English Premier League after Chelsea slipped to a surprise 3-2 defeat to West Ham. Manchester City capitalised fully, stealing away the top spot, while a late Divock Origi goal moved Liverpool into second. Will we see the lead switch hands again at the weekend? City feature among our EPL betting tips this coming weekend, so read on to find out.

epl matchday 16

With just one defeat in seven, Leeds are looking like a tough side to beat. And that’s not what Chelsea fans will want to hear, as they entertain the Yorkshire side in their first match after losing top spot. New EPL leaders Manchester City face a seemingly straightforward task against a struggling Wolves outfit. And Liverpool look to close the gap, as they play host to Aston Villa. 

At the other end of the table, Watford are looking to stay out of the bottom three, as they face a tricky trip to Brentford. While Newcastle will hope to build upon their first win of the 2021/22 season and start to move out of trouble. But who are we tipping up to win ahead of matchday 16? Time to reveal all.

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Odds and Predictions

Regular followers of our Premier League betting tips will probably be sick of hearing about Wolves and how shot shy they are. But for the fourth week in a row, we feel there’s value to be had due to their lack of potency up top. This weekend, Bruno Lage’s men face a tough trip to the new EPL leaders Manchester City. 

At an unappealing best price of 1.20 (Bet365) we can’t possibly tip the home side to win. However, if you look at the “To Win To Nil” market, you can back City at 1.75 (BetVictor) and this seems like a huge price. Wolves have only created an xG of 17.71 so far this term, the sixth poorest in the league. Worse still, they’ve hugely underperformed on that figure, scoring just 12 times this Premier League campaign. 

Three games without a goal, despite coming up against two of the EPL’s bottom three sides, is not the best preparation for Wolves. Especially when you realise that City have the best defensive record in the competition. Pep’s side have only conceded nine times, which seems about right based on their xGA of 9.58. Liverpool have an xGA of 14.14, for comparison.

Verdict: Manchester City to win to nil @ 1.75 (BetVictor)

For the second of this weekend’s Premier League tips, we quite fancy Crystal Palace to come good against Everton. The Eagles have lost three in a row and are four without a win, while Everton will arrive at Goodison off the back of a victory against Arsenal. But this doesn’t tell the whole story.

Vieira’s side were extremely unlucky to drop points against EPL strugglers Burnley, according to xG data. And despite losing 2-1 to Villa, they really should have won the game. Palace are creating chances. Despite sitting in 14th position, their xG value is good for a top half position according to most models.

Everton on the other hand, were fortunate to pip Arsenal in an extremely tight game, if xG is to be believed. In the eight games prior to that, they mustered just two points. And they have the fifth worst defensive record in the Premier League, according to the xGA metric. At a standout price of 2.30 with Betfred, Palace to win looks like a terrific value bet.

Verdict: Crystal Palace to win @ 2.30 (Betfred)

Watch Premier League Live Streams

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