The 2013 renewal of the Yorkshire Oaks takes place on Thursday 22nd August and we’ve picked out a candidate that looks like a great value Each-Way bet, currently priced up at 10/1 (11.00) with BetVictor. Check out our Yorkshire Oaks preview for the full story…
Looking over the profiles of recent winners of the Yorkshire Oaks, we can pick out important trends that emerge and apply those to the 2013 field in order to thin it out a little. Here’s what we discovered:
Key Yorkshire Oaks Trends
- All of the last 14 winners of the Yorkshire Oaks had won over 10f (or further)
This is a fairly self explanatory trend. The Yorkshire Oaks is contested over 1m 4f so winning form over at least 1m 2f is obviously crucial.
- All of the last 14 Yorkshire Oaks winners had run in two or more races that season
- 12 of the last 14 winners of the Yorkshire Oaks placed in a Group 1 or 2 last time out
- 12 of the last 14 winners had won that season
These Yorkshire Oaks trends clearly show that we need to be focusing on race sharp horses that are in good form, and at the very highest level.
Looking through the 2013 Yorkshire Oaks field, only two candidates would appear to have the right profile based on the above trends: Secret Gesture and Emirates Queen.
Of the two, my preference is for the former. Emirates Queen won the Lancashire Oaks earlier this season and now bids for a double, but could only manage a third place finish in the Prix de Pomone last time out and may struggle to put up another big effort just 12 days on from that trip to France.
Ralph Beckett’s Secret Gesture has had slightly longer to recover from her last time out run over in Germany, when she finished as runner-up in the German Oaks, and the trainer has reported her to be “very well” after that run. She also finished second in the Epsom Oaks behind her stablemate Talent (another big priced winner for betpal followers!) back in May, but I fancy our selection to exact revenge based on Talent’s poor showing in the Irish Oaks.
BetVictor are a standout price of 10/1 (11.00) about our selection and I think that’s a great value bet.
The 2013 Yorkshire Oaks
Thursday August 22nd, 15:40
Secret Gesture (Each-Way) @ 10/1 (11.00) with BetVictor
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