The Wokingham Stakes, a Class 2 Heritage Handicap that takes place on the Saturday of Royal Ascot, was established way back in 1813 and is always a popular race. It’s also a difficult race in which to pick a winner, due to the huge field, but we’ve lined up two big priced betting tips – including a 33/1 (34.00) chance with SkyBet (pictured) – that have a fantastic chance of tasting success at the 2013 Royal meeting. Find out what our Wokingham Stakes tips are by reading on…
The 2013 Wokingham Stakes (often referred to as the Wokingham Handicap) field size currently stands at a mammoth 114 entries, so we need to seriously thin out the field. As ever, we’ve picked out some key trends from having taken a look at past winners of the famous Heritage Handicap, which we can use to do exactly that. Here are the crucial Wokingham Stakes trends:
Key Wokingham Stakes Trends
- All of the last 14 Wokingham Stakes winners were aged 6 or younger
This particular Wokingham Handicap trend needs no explanation, but it’s worth pointing out that 12 of those 14 were aged 5 or younger, underlining the point that it pays to focus on the younger entrants.
- All of the last 14 Wokingham Handicap winners had won a race over either 6f or 7f
- 11 of the last 14 winners had won a Class 2 race (or better)
These trends tell us that we should be looking for a horse with a certain amount of class, as well as ability over a similar trip to that of the Wokingham Handicap.
- 13 of the last 14 Wokingham Stakes winners had raced in the past 50 days
- 12 of the last 14 winners placed last time out
As with many races at Royal Ascot, we should be focusing on those horses that are in good form and race fit.
- 11 of the last 14 winners of the Wokingham Stakes had won no more than two handicap races
- 11 of the last 14 winners carried between 8st 11lbs and 9st 6lbs to victory
- 10 of the last 14 Wokingham Stakes winners were officially rated between 95 and 102
These Wokingham Handicap trends show a clear bias towards those horses in a certain weight and official rating range. We should be looking for a Wokingham horse that’s well handicapped and not over-exposed.
Having considered all of the above trends, there are just three horses amongst the 2013 Wokingham Stakes field that stand out: Gabriel’s Lad, Dinkum Diamond and Rex Imperator.
The first named horse, Denis Coakley’s Gabriel’s Lad, would be my preferred pick for the 2013 Wokingham Stakes. The four year old bay is only entered in this race at the 2013 Royal meeting, so we don’t have to worry about him defecting to one of the other big sprints, plus he’s versatile with regards to the going and he’s a course and distance winner, all of which which should stand him in good stead.
In three of his last four races, Gabriel’s Lad has finished close to a really progressive sort (Hamza) who won again a few days ago off a mark of 108 (compared to the mark of 96 for our selection) which rather suggests that he might be well handicapped. At the current odds of 20/1 (21.00) with BetVictor, he rates a fantastic Wokingham Handicap bet in my eyes.
For the record, Hamza also has a Wokingham entry but is far too exposed to win this particular race in my mind, particularly after his last win which takes him to three handicap successes and a likely official rating of more than 110, ruling him out from a trends point of view.
As the Wokingham Stakes is such a cavalry charge, I often like to go in with more than one bet. But who is going to be our saver this year?
The latter two named trends horses both ran into a place at big prices earlier today (June 1st; at Epsom and Doncaster respectively) so it will be interesting to see how the handicapper responds to those efforts. Currently rated 100 and 98, it’s possible that their marks will be revised upwards and they may just fall outside of our 95 to 102 range, so please bear this in mind. As it stands though, they both fit the Wokingham Stakes trends perfectly, so we need to choose one.
I marginally prefer Dinkum Diamond. He may have run four times at Ascot without success, but all of those efforts came in Group company, so he’s hardly been disgraced. His third place in today’s Epsom Dash was eye-catching and he was within half a length of the winner Duke Of Firenze, who has now been trimmed to Wokingham favouritism after that effort (as short as 8/1 in places). Dinkum Diamond’s best odds of 33/1 (34.00) with SkyBet are frankly insulting based on that piece of form and he is definitely worth an Each-Way bet.
The 2013 Wokingham Stakes
Saturday June 22nd, 15:55
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