Washington are still trailing Atlanta by seven victories, but if they can maintain their momentum, the nationals could get within striking distance soon. Winning at home against Milwaukee should be a formality, as the Brewers are mired in a five games losing streak and struggle to score.
Bet: Washington -1.5 runs
Odds: Winner Sports 2.20
Washington starts with Jordan Zimmermann and this is the main reason for why bookmakers are underpricing the hosts. The Nationals have alternated wins and defeats, with the best example being the narrow victory in the series against the New York Mets. Zimmerman is one of the few constant players in their rotation and perhaps the best starting pitcher in the National League, at least at home. He’s yet to lose a decision at the Nationals Park, where he is 8-0 with an average of one run conceded per match.
He will be opposed by Yovanni Gallardo who is trying to return to his winning ways after a disappointing first half of the season. He was pulled out in the fourth inning again after conceding a high number of runs and he is no match for Zimmerman even if he plays his a-game. He has the unpleasant task of keeping Milwaukee in the game until Jordan retires and the bullpen assumes his duties, but it is highly unlikely for Gallardo to pull out something like this in Washington.
Zimmerman needs very few runs of support to emerge victorious and his teammates should provide him with sufficient points to win his 12th decision. There is no point in backing the Nationals to win at odds of 1.55, not when Winner Sports increases them to 2.20 for Washington to cover the spread.