Varese won a single game in more than a month and unless they rebound quickly, they are in danger of missing the qualification playoffs. Their opponents are eight points behind, but Novara is one of the most in-form teams in Serie B and lost a single match this year.
Match: Varese vs Novara
Bet: Over 2.5
Odds: Sky Bet 2.20
The defense suffered a meltdown for Varese at the end of February and things turned from bad to worse when the team conceded nine goals in three games. Coach Castori shifted to an ultra-defensive starting formation in the last round but the scoreless draw didn’t help their cause much. Tonight when they have home pitch advantage, Varese will need to take more chances upfront and it is expected for top scorer Ebagua to be joined upfront by veteran Leonidas.
The visitors are on a roll and after joining three consecutive games 1-1, they’ve ousted Crotone by five goals to one and should carry that momentum to Varese. If the hosts open up and aim for the straight victory, Novara could replicate that offensive outburst and cause a major upset. Less than one month ago, the team proved that it is a force to be reckoned with even when playing away from home, after crushing Spezia 6-0. They scored four goals in less than 20 minutes, and the players are highly motivated to win.
There is no point in backing the hosts at full stakes and double chance bets are to be avoided in Serie B, because bookmakers tend to offer dismal odds. Sky Bet offers juicy ones for more than 2.5 goals to be scored, and although the Italian championship is famous for a low goals average, this is the exception that confirms the rule.