Almeria was lousy against Valencia a few days ago but they were lucky enough to score two goals in a bit over 1 min. to secure a point. They now travel to Valladolid and they will need to play much better if they are to avoid a painful defeat that could trigger serious consequences.
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: William Hill 2.10
Almeria lost three games in a row and allowed 10 goals but their main rivals were equally ineffective and as a result they didn’t sink back into the relegation area. They stand one point clear and they are entitled to be optimistic about their chances, as their rivals are facing much better teams. Almeria’s list of injured players grows shorter and right now only Dubarbier and Martinez are unfit to play, so their midfield should improve slightly.
Their biggest problems are in defense and this is why we can expect Valladolid to come out firing on all cylinders tonight. Except for the narrow margin victory over Barcelona, the hosts didn’t accomplish anything notable this month but they still have time to redeem themselves. This is a six-point game, because dropping points against a team that also tries to avoid relegation is unacceptable. Since Almeria are three points above them in the standings, Valladolid can’t settle for a draw but will be forced to risk everything up front.
William Hill offers even odds for a home win, which is one way of wagering on this fixture, but Valladolid can’t be trusted right now. Betting on more than 2.5 goals to be scored is a better option, since the odds stand at 2.10 and both teams are particularly vulnerable and tend to concede a lot of goals.