Rafael Nadal, the world’s number two, won’t be in action in the upcoming US Open, but that may actually turn out to be a good thing for tennis, as the tournament looks set to be a wide open event with no big favorites. Of course, Novak Djokovic will be there and he’s certainly going to be the man that many punters will look to in their outright betting, but the world’s number one has been suspiciously average as of late, having failed to achieve anything in both Toronto and Cincinnati.

On the women’s side, Serena Williams will be there to defend her title and the bookies do indeed see her as the favourite for the trophy once again, which is fair enough, as she’s been very impressive recently.

Who Can Win?

Roger Federer

Source: globalite @ Flickr

Let’s be clear here – there’s hardly any value in backing Novak Djokovic to win the title at this year’s US Open. First, he’s in a really poor form right now. Second, he hasn’t been handed a particularly ease draw, so he might actually even fail to make it to the finals this year, especially if he hasn’t done some truly hard work over the last few days.

Roger Federer, on the other hand, has been very good recently and he’s probably going to see this as one of his last real chances of adding yet another Grand Slam trophy to his cabinet, so we expect him to be on the top of his game. A good performance would also boost him ranking-wise, as he doesn’t have a lot of points to defend from last year, which should boost his motivation even further.

On the women’s side, we’re going to go with the obvious pick of Serena Williams. She seems to have an easy enough draw and she really needs to win this one after failing in both the French Open and Wimbledon, so expect her to play her best tennis over the next couple of weeks.

Potential Surprises

Svetlana Kuznetsova

Source: Edwin Martinez1 @ Flickr

Although everything does look fairly open at first glance, it isn’t all that easy to identify any value picks, as the bookies have apparently done their homework. We’ve found some interesting punts that could be worth it, however, so let’s take a look at them.

In the women’s draw, there could be some value in backing Agnieszka Radwanska to really step up to the plate and make it all the way to the finals this year. Like Serena Williams, she struggled in the French Open and Wimbledon, but she’s improved a lot over the last couple of weeks and there seems to be nothing wrong with her game at the moment, so perhaps this could be the ideal chance for her to capture a Grand Slam trophy.

The second quarter of the women’s draw could also see plenty of upsets, as the two Wimbledon finalists, Eugenie Bouchard and Petra Kvitova, appear to be very vulnerable at the moment. That could give a chance to Svetlana Kuznetsova, who’s got the entire package and who won the tournament back in 2004.

Finally, we’ll try our luck and back Tommy Robredo to win his quarter, as we’ve got some doubts about both Stanislas Wawrinka and Milos Raonic. He was great at Flushing Meadows in 2013 and he impressed us in both Toronto and Cincinnati, so he looks a bit overpriced to us in the quarter betting.

The Recommendations

Roger Federer to win US Open 2014 (Best Odds: 4.00 @ Unibet)

Serena Williams to win US Open 2014 (Best Odds: 2.60 @ Pinnacle)

Agnieszka Radwanska to reach the final (Best Odds: 10.00 @ BetVictor)

Svetlana Kuznetsova to win her quarter (Best Odds: 19.00 @ Bet365)

Tommy Robredo to win his quarter (Best Odds: 15.00 @ Paddy Power)