UFC on Fox 7 comes to us in the early hours of Sunday morning and is headlined by a mouth-watering lightweight title fight between the champion Benson Henderson and the UFC debuting Gilbert Melendez. Henderson is a solid favourite to retain his title and despite his short price there is still some value to be had in the fight at a price of 4/5 with Paddy Power. Read on for more details on that bet and another free UFC betting tip.
Benson Henderson is a short as 3/10 which when looked at in isolation is unlikely to get anyone too excited but with a little bit of analysis we can find a better bet. Henderson has won 6 in a row and, interestingly, all 6 wins have came via decision.
Henderson is quickly turning into the lightweight version of GSP in the welterweight division in that he has many tools with which to control his fights without being able to finish the fighters at the top of the division.
Melendez won’t really bring anything new to the table for Henderson and he should be able to dictate this fight with both his striking and wrestling. Whilst it will likely be an exciting fight, Henderson has too much about him for Melendez and the 4/5 from Paddy Power for Henderson to win by decision is BetPal’s best UFC betting tip for the event.
Elsewhere, there is another interesting looking lightweight bout between Nate Diaz and Josh Thomson. Diaz is coming off a loss to the champion Henderson whilst Thomson has moved over from Strikeforce where he dropped a split decision to Melendez last time out.
The bookmakers have Diaz the firm favourite but BetPal are interested in siding with Thomson who is available to back at 33/20 with Ladbrokes.
Thomson has been plagued by injury but seems to have turned the corner in that respect and his multi-faceted game should see him notch a decision victory as he is an intelligent fighter who knows how to win.
UFC on Fox 7 Betting Tips – 20th April 2013
Benson Henderson to beat Gilbert Melendez by decision – 4/5 with Paddy Power.
Josh Thomson to beat Nate Diaz – 33/20 with Ladbrokes.