Betting on transfer rumours is a fairly recent development in the betting world, but with the bumper television deal ploughing even more money into the English Premier League, this summer has seen an almost endless stream of transfer speculation – all of which can be bet on.

Some big transfer rumours are building up a head of steam, but there are a few weeks to go before the window slams shut, so let’s look at some of the big transfer rumours filling the back pages at the moment, and how likely the layers think they are to happen.

Cesc Fabregas

Fabregas rumoursThe ex-Arsenal midfielder has been in and out of the transfer columns all summer, but the stories linking him to Manchester United have suddenly gained traction in the last few weeks. Spanish journalist and Sky Sports pundit Guillem Balagué said at the start of the Summer that Fabregas was going nowhere, but that has done little to dampen the rumours. There is also the added intrigue that Arsenal apparently have first refusal should the Catalan giants decide to sell. There have been many theories about why the Spain international may want to leave and head for United – but none seem particularly credible, especially given the way in which he left Arsenal for Barcelona, and the affinity he clearly had for the North London club. After his comments about Robin van Persie, would he really make the same move?

Best Odds:
Cesc Fabregas’ Club at the end of the Summer transfer window
Barcelona 1.36
Manchester United 4.33
Arsenal 5
All with William Hill

Gareth Bale

Gareth Bale RumoursAnother story which has been bubbling away for a while but suddenly burst into life this week is that of Gareth Bale’s next club. He appeared all set to stay at White Hart Lane until La Marca announced that he had handed in a transfer request, and then later stated terms had been agreed with Real Madrid. He was left out of the pre-season fixture with Sunderland but aside from the rumours emanating from Spain there seems little for Spurs fans to fear – yet.

Best Odds:
Gareth Bale’s Club at the end of the Summer transfer window
Tottenham 1.8 (bwin)
Real Madrid 2.1
Manchester United 17
Anzhi & Barcelona 101
All with SkyBet unless stated

Wayne Rooney

Rooney transfer rumoursPotentially playing second fiddle to Robin van Persie is not something that too many people see happening for Wayne Rooney, so the rumour mill has gone into over drive for the United striker. Initially Arsenal seemed a genuine destination, but their approach seems to have faded, and Chelsea now head the queue with Jose Mourinho stating Wazza was the Blues main target of the Summer. New United boss David Moyes has said the club have no desire to sell, but was also quoted as suggesting Rooney was no longer first choice. A recent injury to van Persie may impact the thinking of the United hierarchy, but this is a story which seems to have genuine mileage.

Best Odds:
Wayne Rooney’s Club at the end of the Summer transfer window
Chelsea 1.53 (SkyBet)
Manchester United 2.75 (888Sport)
Arsenal 10 (888Sport)
PSG 13 (SkyBet)
Real Madrid 26 (SkyBet)

Luis Suarez

Luis Saurez rumoursEveryone’s favourite Uruguayan, Luis Suarez, has been the centre of a great deal of speculation, despite still having to serve a substantial amount of his ban. Initially the Striker said he was tired with the treatment he received from the English press, and that was his reason for wanting to move on. The interest from Arsenal however, seems to have resolved that issue, and his reason for leaving is now Champions League football. Despite the obvious baggage, Liverpool are still very keen to hang on to their star player and have already snubbed a bid believed to be £40m (and a pound). While the extra pound was the cause of many social media jokes, it was sufficient to trigger a clause in the Suarez contract that allows him to negotiate with other clubs. So is this rumour the most likely of the lot?

Best Odds:
Luis Suarez’ club after the Summer transfer window
Liverpool 2.38 (William Hill)
Arsenal 2.1 (888Sport)
Real Madrid 3.5 (William Hill)
Manchester City 23 (SkyBet)

Transfer rumours were initially introduced into British papers as a way of filling space when late results from the previous evening were not received in time – they have since grown into a very murky world where players, agents, chairmen and journalists manoeuvre opinion or rumours in which ever way suits them. Betting on rumours will always be fraught with danger, and bookmakers are not overly keen to take on too much risk but there are huge price swings when the ‘done deals’ fall through. A recent example being Gary Hooper to QPR – the move was priced at 1.17 but is now out to 4.0…