The Rogers Cup, which is going to take place in Canada this week, is set to catch the attention of every single tennis fan in the world, as it will allow us to see the big guns in action once again. Unfortunately, the world’s number two, Rafael Nadal, has injured himself during a training session and is now in a race against time to be ready for the US Open, so we’re not going to see him in Toronto and Cincinnati.
His absence shouldn’t make those tournaments less interesting, however, and it might even make things a bit more open, so we should be in for two great Masters events that are going to reveal which player will find himself in a prime position for the final Grand Slam of the season.
Who Can Win?
Novak Djokovic, the world’s number one, is certainly the main favorite for the title and he’s been priced as such with every single bookmaker out there. However, the draw hasn’t been incredibly kind for him this time and he might have to face a really strong opponent in virtually every single round, so perhaps there isn’t any value in backing him at the current odds. Potentially, his road to the finals might lead through Gael Monfils, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, Andy Murray and Stanislas Wawrinka, which doesn’t look easy at all.
Roger Federer, who’s priced as the second biggest favorite, should have an easier passage, although he’s generally far less reliable than Djokovic in these smaller tournament, so that’s something that needs to be taken into account as well. Nonetheless, we fancy him slightly more than the Serb due to the draw and the odds.
There seems to be a large gap between the two Wimbledon finalists and the rest of the field, which brings us into the territories of huge odds and interesting opportunities in the quarter betting. Leaving Djokovic and Federer aside, we’re going to recommend a few quarter bets and one massively-priced outright that could provide the tournament with a couple of big upsets.
In the second quarter of the draw, we quite fancy a small bet on Grigor Dimitrov, who was one of the most impressive players during the last Grand Slam and who now seems to be ready for a bigger success somewhere down the line. He has the right game for the surface and motivation shouldn’t be a problem given how big this event is, so we like his chances of upsetting the likes of Nishikori and Wawrinka next week. A minuscule bet on Gilles Simon should also be considered in case the Frenchman bounces back and strings a few great performances together.
In the third quarter, Lleyton Hewitt and Ernests Gulbis are to be considered ahead of the highly-fancied duo of Milos Raonic and Tomas Berdych. Berdych was very poor in Washington, while Raonic might feel some fatigue after a long week in the United States, so the odds for them getting to the semis look way too low for them to be value. Moreover, Raonic – who’s rightfully seen as a better player than Berdych right now – probably won’t like the conditions, which should be too slow for his liking.
As for the massive outright – why is Pospisil priced above players like Feliciano Lopez or Dominic Thiem? Yes, he’s played a lot of tennis recently, but his confidence is sky-high and he’s always dangerous in Canada, so those who want to back someone at massive odds should definitely have an interest bet on the world’s number thirty-six.
Roger Federer to win Toronto Masters 2014 (Best Odds: 5.70 @ Pinnacle)
Vasek Pospisil to win Toronto Masters 2014 (Best Odds: 201.05 @ Pinnacle)
Grigor Dimitrov to win his quarter (Best Odds: 3.25 @ BetVictor)
Gilles Simon to win his quarter (Best Odds: 101.00 @ BetVictor)
Lleyton Hewitt to win his quarter (Best Odds: 21.00 @ BetVictor)
Ernests Gulbis to win his quarter (Best Odds: 8.00 @ BetVictor)