A night race on the streets of Singapore for this weekend’s Grand Prix. Lewis Hamilton has seven wins from the twelve races so far this season as he moves towards a third Formula One world title.

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Daniil Kvyat Podium Fnish 7-1 William Hill

The contrast between the last round of the Formula One world championship in Italy and this weekend’s race in Singapore is obvious. Monza is the quickest circuit on the calendar. Singapore is a modern circuit, its street course runs under a motorway which remains in use while F1 cars race at night with some of the lowest average speeds of the year.

Monza showed us just how powerful the upgraded Mercedes’ V6 hybrid turbo power unit is. Lewis Hamilton built up a 22-second lead over  Sebastian Vettel and then his team told him on the radio to push because of a fear of a post race time penalty. Over the final seven laps he added a further three seconds to his lead.

Meanwhile team mate Nico Rosberg suffered Mercedes’ first technical failure of the year, having been forced into using a six race old engine after gremlins struck his new power unit in practice. That helped Hamilton boost his lead in the championship standings to 53 points. Hamilton has out-qualified Rosberg 11 times out of 12 this year

Whilst of course we would expect Mercedes to be at the front of the field in Singapore again, this is a circuit that will suit other cars whereas power circuits don’t. Mercedes straight-line speed advantage won’t count as strongly at a track where drivers are on full throttle for less than half of the lap.

One team that could capitalise is Red Bull who have been at their best on F1′s tightest tracks so far this year, taking fourth and fifth at Monaco and second and third places in Hungary. Both these tracks see their power disadvantage minimised and the advantages of their competitive chassis and good corner handling to come into play. Red Bull expected to be uncompetitive on Monza’s long straights and so used the opportunity to fit new engines to their cars, taking severe grid penalties in order to maximise their chances this weekend.

At Singapore they will expect to be close to Ferrari and ahead of Williams as the closest challengers to Mercedes. Twelve months ago they had both their drivers on the podium.

Within Red Bull one of the interesting things about this season is that new driver Daniil Kvyat leads Daniel Ricciardo in the driver’s standings 58 to 55 after 12 races. Both are quick and talented, and Ricciardo has suffered more reliability problems than the young Russian. Yet markets continue to price Rcciardo as favourite.

For example this weekend

Race win Ricciardo 40/1 Kvyat 66/1

Podium Ricciardo 4/1 Kvyat 7/1

Top Six Ricciardo 4/6 Kvyat 5/6

Points Ricciardo 1/3 Kvyat 4/11

Of these, I like Daniil Kvyat at 7-1 to podium with William Hill. A sporting price for a speculative bet at a spectacular race.

Recommendation

Daniil Kvyat Podium Fnish 7-1 William Hill