Rayo Vallecano faces the best travelling team after Barcelona, but their home record and head-to-head results give them reasons to hope for a victory over Betis Sevilla. The visitors are struggling with injuries and have to cope with the fatigue caused by an intense schedule, which explains their underdog status.
Match: Rayo Vallecano vs Betis Sevilla
Bet: Over 2.5 goals
Odds: Pinnacle Sports 1.87
Betis Sevilla misses no less than seven players and three of them are veteran defenders, which means that Rayo will have plenty of gaps to exploit in their defenses. It is going to be hard to replace the absentees and recent results are a clear indicator that the visitors are struggling without them. The midfield is in an equally dire situation and although the offense is at full strength, this will not be an easy task for Betis.
On the other hand, Vallecano is facing the same difficult challenge of doing without three defenders and a starting formation that will look more like a 3-5-2, might deliver subpar results. Unlike their opponents who have been tested in both Primera Division and Copa del Rey, Rayo can focus exclusively on the domestic league. The home field advantage has been huge this season, but things can go terrible wrong if the visitors are not willing to shift into a defensive mode.
Instead of taking chances by betting on either team, punters should take Pinnacle’s offer of 1.87 for an over 2.5 goals to be scored. Both teams are missing essential defenders and scoring one goal more than their opponents seems to be the best strategy.