It rarely appears to be a good idea to go against Barcelona, especially when they have home pitch advantage. If there is one team that can cause them troubles at Nou Camp, then this has to be the runner up Atletico Madrid which stands only six points behind the leader.
Bet: Atletico Madrid +1.5
Odds: Pinnacle 1.97
Atletico has the best home record, with eight victories in as many games but away from home they have won only four games out of seven. Radamel Falcao is their most prolific goal scorer and the South American will play for the visitors alongside Spanish striker Adrian. If they would focus exclusively on the offensive as they do when they play at home, Madrid would expose themselves too much and that’s why coach Simeone will field a more defensive minded formation.
The best thing about Falcao is that he needs only a few chances to score and this is a particularly valuable quality against a team such as Barcelona. The hosts will miss Fabregas and Cuenca, but with Messi and Villa upfront they don’t really need to worry about who will spearhead the offensive. Only once in the last 10 games fewer than three goals were scored and quite often the matches turned into scoring festivals.
If Atletico is serious about fighting for the title this is the match when they have to prove their worth, because losing to Barcelona would increase the gap to nine points. Backing the visitors with an Asian handicap of +1,5 as a safety net is the best move for bold punters and one that Pinnacle Sports rewards with odds of 1.97.