As the curtain comes down on another domestic season in England, is it worth reflecting on the odds that were on offer in August 2012 to see if there are any clues for the season to come. Some short priced favourites faded, while some teams over achieved at big prices. Read our Premier League Betting review to see what the odds were nine short months ago, and see if there are pointers for 2013/14.
The Premier League Betting Review
Back in August 2013, Manchester City were reigning Champions, and also market leaders in the Premier League winner market. The Citizens were generally available at just 2.25 (5/4). Eventual winners Manchester United were 9/4 (3.25) and a Roberto Di Matteo led Chelsea were 9/2 (5.5) shots. Arsenal were odds on for a top four spot, at 8/13 (1.61), and 11/1 for the title. Liverpool were just 9/4 (3.25) for a top four spot too.
The really big prices however, were in other markets. QPR were 5/1 (6.0) for relegation, and Newcastle were 33/1 (34.0) – The Magpies may have ended up safe, but that could have provided a very lucrative trade. West Ham were 5/1 (6.0) to finish in the top half, and Everton were 7/2 (4.5) to finish in the top 6.
The golden boot race was priced up pretty accurately. Robin van Persie was the 7/1 (8.0) joint favourite with Sergio Aguero. Luis Suarez was 12/1 (13.0). Gareth Bale finished third but was not priced up back in the summer, and would have been at least 66/1 (67.0). Another interesting market was in the ‘Sack race’ to see which manager left his post first. The two market leaders in August were Sam Allardyce and Steve Clarke – both enjoyed good seasons in the end. Roberto Mancini was 50/1 (51.0) in that market, with Tony Pulis and Martin O’Neill 33/1 (34.0). Things can move swiftly in football.
With managerial changes at Manchester United, Manchester City and Chelsea, nest season’s title race looks more open than in the majority of previous Premier League seasons – but it might pay to study other markets to identify bigger prices in the 2013-14 campaign, even if they are with a view to trade over the season. A Gareth Bale each-way golden boot bet would have been the pick in August 2012!