Liverpool v Chelsea headlines the three Premier League games on Sunday
Liverpool v Chelsea
This has long been seen as the key game in Liverpool’s title run. Five points clear with three games tgo go, and on the back of 11 league wins in a row Liverpool face Chelsea at an interesting time for the visitors with the game sandwiched between Chelsea’s two Champions league semi-final legs. The suggestion that Chelsea would put a weakened team out for this game has seen Liverpool backed in from 5/4 to 8/11
Of course some changes are forced for Chelsea. John Terry, Petr Cech and Hazard are injured and Ramires suspended, but we should still see a midfield which includes Nemanja Matic, John Obi Mikel and possibly Marco van Ginkel while starts for Demba Ba and Mo Salah could make the visitors dangerous.
With Liverpool short, possibly articifically short, the Ladbrokes offer for this game provides some protection. They will give your money back as a free bet (up to £25) if the game finishes as a draw, and that includes correct score/first goalscorer and 1-2-X win markets. A Liverpool win at 4/6 seems the most reasonable expectation, and the Ladbr0kes offer is the place to go
Crystal Palace v Manchester City
A game that may play out in different ways depending on the result of the Liverpool game earlier in the day. Liverpool win, and Manchester City’s title hopes will be minor at beat. Liverpool drop points, and the impetus for City to gain three points will be enormous.
Palace’s huge improvement in form under Pulis has left them within touching distance of a top half finish and whilst City haven’t shown too many signs of fallibility away from home the 19/10 BetVictor offer on Crystal Palace +1 goal on the handicap is very interesting
Under Pulis Palace don’t concede may goals, defend to a pattern and hold onto leads tigerishly. I wouldn’t be surprised to see this being a far closer game than outrights of 1/2 Manchester City 7/1 Crystal Palace suggests
Sunderland v Cardiff
The ultimate relegation six pointer between two bottom three sides. A win here will give them every chance of escaping the drop, a loss could be terminal to their hopes. This is likely to be a tense game and working out who will perform in these conditions is not easy. Sunderland are able to raise their game on occasions, often against the top sides but fail to perform when they are expected to win.
If we could expect the Manchester City and Chelsea performances to carry on to this game, fine, but we can’t and odds on here looks quite skinny, even against Cardiff. I think the best play here is to go for the draw, thinking the two sides might play not to lose forst and foremost and 11/4 the draw with Bet365 is the favoured bet