England won the first two games of the series in Dubai to add a T20 series victory to their ODI series win after losing the Test series.

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Pakistan to win 11/10 William Hill

England have shown skill and composure to beat a Pakistan side that, before this series, were unbeaten in six T20I games. The final game of the series and tour takes place in Sharjah in Monday

With the World T20 tournament taking place in India in 2016 every game is important as preparation, especially in these similar conditions and so far England have proved superior to Pakistan in two respects

a)  Batting depth, where England have attacking batsmen and potential matchwinners down to number 9 in the order

b)   Fielding and fitness, where Pakistan’s performance has suffered in comparision to a younger England team (dropped catches and allowing ones to be turned into twos make a big difference in these close games)

England have had some factors in their favour in both the first two games. They won the toss in both games, batted first and amassed competitive scores of 160 and 172. They won the first game comfortably and the second on the last ball surviving a big hitting onslaught from Shahid Afridi late in the Pakistan reply.

For this game, in the slightly different conditions that Sharjah offers (a slower pitch that favours spin a bit more) prices are England 8/11 and Pakistan 11/10. On the basis of what we have seen so far these are unsurprising quotes but the value is definitely Pakistan in this short format in a one off game where they might win the toss, compile a score and put the pressure on England.

In terms of sub-markets it is difficult to assess for England who made four changes from the first to the second game (Eoin Morgan, Moeen Ali, Chris Jordan and Reece Topley were all omitted from this side) and where the emphasis is on trying different combinations ahead of a major tournament and presumably the line up for the third game will change again. Pakistan’s line up is more settled (nine players have played both games in the series so far so probably offers some scope for value except that in the Pakistan line up eleven batsmen have between 21 and 40 runs in the two games, none above 40. Three bowlers have three wickets and no more.

In these circumstances I will stick with Pakistan to win the final game at 11/10 with William Hill.

Recommendation

Pakistan to win 11/10 William Hill