The ever competitive Norwegian Tippeligaen continues this weekend and our focus turns to the mid-table scrap between Viking, currently sitting 13th, and Honefoss, who have moved into 6th. In such a tight League every fixture is vital, so where is the value in this encounter?
Match: Viking v Honefoss
Bet: Lay Viking
Odds: Betfair 1.8 (4/5)
These two sides are separated by 6 points in the current standings. Honefoss are trying to keep pace in the race for a top 3 finish, while Viking are desperate to stay out of the relegation dog fight. While League placings alone might mean the odds-on prices about the hosts cause a few raised eyebrows, further investigation makes a lay of the home side extremely compelling.
Viking have lost 7 of their 14 games this term, and recorded just 4 wins (28%). They have also conceded twice as many goals (22) as they have scored (11) and have the second worst goal difference in the League after bottom club, Stabaek. More recently they have managed to win just once in the last 6. Not an enticing odds on prospect.
In addition, Honefoss are in rude health. They have been beaten just 3 times all season (14 games) and have lost just one of the last 6 – and those recent fixtures included games against the top 4 sides in the League. They are a tough nut to crack and Viking look very unlikely to record the routine home win that those odds suggest.
Side with Honefoss again and oppose the hosts in this one (1.8 or 4/5 at Betfair). At odds-on Viking are woefully short for a side who find wins hard to come by, especially against a side as defiant as Honefoss. Alternatively, Honefoss +0.5 is 2.13 (113/100) with BetDaq on the Asian Handicap.