Two wins and a push from three underdog bets in Week 4, now onto the best bets for Week 4 in the NFL

Recommendations

Oakland Raiders +4.5 10/11 Ladbrokes versus Miami Dolphins

Carolina Panthers +3 21/20 Ladbrokes versus Baltimore Ravens

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 20/21 Ladbrokes versus New England Patriots

Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins, Wembley

Winless Oakland are 4.5 point underdogs to Miami for the first of this season’s Wembley games. Miami had a great win in week one against the Patriots but have regressed badly since, particularly in this past weekend’s loss to the Chiefs at home. Subsequent to the match there was talk of dressing room un-rest, and some suggestions that quarterback Ryan Tannehill would be benched. Their essential problem though is a) team chemistry and b) lack of offensive line protection to enable the offense to function

I’d like to take them on here, as I don’t trust them to be 4.5 point favourites. Oakland, several years into a rebuilding process that hasn’t gone very far, still lack talent overall but in rookie Quarterback Derek Carr they have a player with potential who can get this offense moving. I’d prefer to oppose Miami with an underdog more reliable than Oakland, but needs must

Carolina Panthers at Baltimore Ravens

Carolina, who won their first two games before being upset by the Steelers at home on Snday night football, travel to Baltimore as 3 point underdogs. Baltimore are an inconsistent team who have played three divisional games so far with a 2-1 record. Carolina’s defense is closest to the strongest they have played, that of the Bengals and they look a better team across the board than Baltimore, who are banged up in the running game especially

This also has the look of an “unders” game for Total Pints too, but quotes around the 40-41 market show that this is in expectations

New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs

The Patriots travel to Kansas City for the Monday night football game as  3.5 point favourites, with a 2-1 record. I think they are probably bad favourites with a record that flatters them.

Their offense is spluttering and Brady is on record this week as saying “only one of our players on offense is performing well” This doesn’t appear to me a recipe for being 3.5 point road favourites

Kansas City are banged up on defense but have an offense led by quarterback Alex Smith that makes few mistakes and, especially if Jamaal Charles returns to fitness, will churn out running yards to control the clock.

A close game is likely, but  like home underdogs against a high profile team, especially one that looks over-rated on recent form

Recommendations

Oakland Raiders +4.5 10/11 Ladbrokes versus Miami Dolphins

Carolina Panthers +3 21/20 Ladbrokes versus Baltimore Ravens

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 20/21 Ladbrokes versus New England Patriots