The NFL’s week 11 games include one of the games of the season as the 9-0 Chiefs visit the 8-1 Broncos in a game crucial to the outcome of the AFC West division

Recommendations

Kansas City Chiefs +9.5 at Denver Broncos 4/5 Ladbrokes

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat the Atlanta Falcons at 20/21 Stan James

Cleveland Browns +6 at Cincinnati Bengals 10/11 Stan James

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

A huge game in the AFC West as the turn-round story of the season, the undefeated Chiefs and their Number One ranked defense visit Denver to play Peyton Manning and the 8-1 Broncos.

It has become routine to diss the Chiefs, with a workmanlike offense and an easy schedule, and claim that their record is “false”. However you can only beat who the schedule gives you to beat. Nevertheless this helps explain the remarkable prices for this game where the unbeaten team is a 9.5 point underdog!

Denver of course have a multi-faceted offense, even though Manning aggravated an injured ankle last week. Most wuld expect them to win this game and I do too. However a 9.5 point spread doesn’t leave a lot of room for manoeuvre for Denver backers as the Chiefs defense features two superb pass rushers in Tamba Hali and Justin Houston plus plenty of talent, built up over several years of high draft picks as the team was in the doldrums, in the secondary

The value bet here is the Chiefs +9.5 at 4/5 Ladbrokes

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay gained their first win of the seasona gainst Miami last week and now host divisional rivals the Falcons. The Falcons are having a very disappointing season primarily as a lot of their offensive stars are out injured, leaving Quarterback Matt Ryan struggling with a supporting cast of back-ups.

This is priced as a scratch game, and we are able to back the Buccaneers at 20/21 with Stan James outright. As I wrote last week, putting aside team dysfunctionality and poor coaching for a moment, the Tampa Bay team has a lot of talent on defense and should be able to restrict Atlanta scoring. This could be a close low scoring match and getting the home team at scratch is an interesting opportunity

Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals

A big NFC North Divisional clash as the Browns travel to Cincinnati as 6 point underdogs needign a win badly to stay in contention to win the division. The Bengals are 6-4 but increasingly injury hit and struggled for long periods of their eventual defeat to the Ravens last week.

With Jason Campbell at Quarterback the Browns are very capable of being competitive in this match with big play threats Josh Gordon and Jordan Cameron going against a defense minus their best players Geno Atkins and Leon Hall on injured reserve.

The Bengals will go as far as their inconsistent quarterback Andy Dalton allows. Another off-game, as per last week, and Cleveland’s +6 quote will definitely be attractive here. +6 Cleveland is available at 10/11 with Stan James, amongst others

Recommendations

Kansas City Chiefs +9.5 at Denver Broncos 4/5 Ladbrokes

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat the Atlanta Falcons at 20/21 Stan James

Cleveland Browns +6 at Cincinnati Bengals 10/11 Stan James