The Conference Championships this weekend decide which two teams will meet in the SuperBowl in Houston on February 5th.
NFC Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons
The Atlanta Falcons are set as five point favorites against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Championship game.
The Falcons have the most dynamic offense in the NFL with multiple weapons and a scheme that is hard to defend and comfortably covered in the divisional playoff game against Seattle.
Green Bay were 4.5 point underdogs in Dallas and won 34-31 thanks to a vintage display from Quarterback Aaron Rodgers, a great player who is able to elevate the players around him.
The two teams met in Atlanta in late October and the Falcons won 33-32 in a thriller. The Packers were four point underdogs for that game and go into this game having won eight straight
With the Falcons offense and Aaron Rodgers indoors on artificial turf its no surprise to see the over/under for this game at a record high for an NFL play off game at 60 points. The Falcons are 14-2-1 on the OVER this season. The OVER has also occurred in 10 of Green Bay’s last 12 games. Not surprisingly then the over/under total is high but it would still be a brave person to bet in a big way on the under. I could see this being a 65-70+ point game
In terms of Atlanta +/- 4 Atlanta should cover with the wild card that Aaron Rodgers usually finds a way.
AFC Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots
The Patriots are 5.5 point favourites in the AFC Championship game.The line for this game has already been moving up from -4 in favour of the Patriots, who comfortably disposed of the Texans last weekend.
Pittsburgh meanwhile won as underdogs in Kansas City without scoring a touchdown. The game was also 36 hours later than New England’s and again they have to travel.
The two teams met on October 23rd where the Patriots covered as 7.5 road favorites in a 27-16 game. However, the Steelers were without QB Ben Roethlisberger in that game. With two elite passers in the game, the total is at 50.5 points.
Pittsburgh’s big hope will be in their trio of star offensive performers, Roethlisberger, Bell and Brown with Bell a particular threat behind one of the league’s best offensive lines. They will though have to counter New England’s offense on the other side of the ball, where Brady is peerless and Dion Lewis scored three touchdowns last weekend to augment the array of skill plays the Patriots has.
I expect New England to cover -5.5 at 10/11 with BetVictor.