Pushing Stephen Strasburg game after game is a risky strategy given his condition, but so far it paid off for the Nationals. Washington are riding a 5 game winning streak and could match their best performance in 2012 by winning tonight. Milwaukee is at the opposing end of form, with six consecutive defeats, including three heartbreaking routs away at Philadelphia.
Match: Milwaukee Brewers vs Washington Nationals
Bet: Washington Nationals
Odds: bet365 2.15
The last time these two teams met, it was the Brewers who triumphed but things get even more interesting for those who are willing to go further back with research. Washington lost eight consecutive games against this team and Miller Park remains one of the arenas where they rarely win. There might be a connection between the high odds that the visitors enjoy and these head-to-head results, but nothing that should worry Nationals’ fans. The visitors have the best road record in MLB and a huge desire to avenge poor past performance, so the stage is set for an exciting clash.
It’s all about the numbers
Milwaukee got swept in Philadelphia after losing all three games of the series by 7 runs to 6 and with each narrow defeat, their morale was further eroded. On the other hand the Nationals seem to favor the score 5-2, as three of their last five victories featured this score. The aforementioned statistics are more than juicy coincidences, because they give hints about what we should expect tonight. Washington’s offensive is scoring a high average of runs each game, while the Brewers are unable to contain opponents.
If it wasn’t for the starting pitchers that duel tonight, I’d be tempted to go for a handicap victory with no worries whatsoever, but once again the numbers stand out from the crowd. Edwin Jackson and Yovani Gallardo have the same ERA of 3.73 and both of them have thrived against the opposing team, which indicates the fact that the odds for a scoring festival to take place at Miller Park are slim. The greatest concerns for Milwaukee don’t revolve around the starting pitcher, but the relievers who are largely responsible for the recent meltdowns.
Gallardo is the only player that could ruin Washington’s plans tonight, but in order for the Brewers to extend their winning streak over the Nationals, they need Yovani to last more than seven innings. Their bullpen is completely out of form and each time one reliever steps on the mound and pitches, the fans hold their breath. The visitors have the best chance they could hope for to end their victory drought in Milwaukee and punters should capitalize on the generous odds of 2.15 offered by bet365.