Washington’s reign in the East division spurs enthusiasm as fans are hoping that 2012 will be the year when the Nationals win the World Series after almost 80 years. Stephen Strasburg is their best pitcher and his presence on the mound is enough to boost the confidence level, but the ace is putting his health at risk each time he throws a pitch.

Match: NY Mets vs Washington Nationals

Bet: Over 7.5 runs

Odds: bet365 1.95

With the best pitching staff in MLB they can afford to score less runs than their competitors, because every single point they score weighs heavily. Strasburg suffered a Tommy John surgery and his arm needs a rest, but for some odd reason the manager denies Stephen the change to properly recover. With a comfortable advantage in their division and tied for with Cincinnati for the first place in the National League, it would be wise to shut down Strasburg or at least grant him a lengthy break.

The perils of pushing the envelope

Washington won the first two games of the series and are regarded as favorites to sweep the NY Mets and amplify their tailspin. The hosts are plummeting through the standings and they are three defeats away from hitting rock bottom, in a division they expected to win. With an average of two runs scored per game lately and pitchers that fail to contain Zimmerman, the Mets have one more thing to worry about.

Jeremy Hefner is their only option for tonight, as their pitching staff is riddled with injuries and his 6.89 ERA makes him a sitting duck for a steaming hot offensive. These are exactly the kind of batters that Jeremy will run into and he would be lucky to make it into the sixth inning. Strasburg’s numbers are solid, but tiredness and lack of fitness are eroding these figures and he won just one of the last four decisions. The Nationals are playing with fire, because if Stephen gets sidelined for the rest of the season, their hopes for winning the Worlds Series will suffer a crushing blow.

BetPal Tip:

Few are the times when going against Strasburg and the Nationals is a good idea, but tonight there is no better way of beating the odds than by choosing the Over 7,5 bet. Jeremy Hefner is a liability for the Mets and everyone knows it, but the surprise will come from the visitors’ ace pitcher. If he is kept in game for more than six innings, he will inevitably hurt his numbers and arm, while the only reason for being retired early would be for conceding many runs. Either way, it is win-win situation for the punters.