Cincinnati can extend its division lead over St Louis by winning the decisive game of the series, and they are counting on Homer Bailey to do so. Having Joey Votto returning to the rotation should help, as he is one of their most prolific players, and they need him again Adam Wainwright. Even without their star first baseman, the Reds did a great job and won seven games out of ten including the last match against the Cardinals.
Match: Cincinnati Reds vs St Louis Cardinals
Bet: Over 8,5 runs
Odds: bet365 2.00
Homer Bailey is not their best option though as the starting pitcher was tagged with eight defeats in 2012 and his ERA climbed over four following the recent outings. His performance at the Great American Park is mediocre to say the least, because he conceded an average of more than five runs per game. If Homer is to add his 11th victory this season, he needs Votto and other offensive players to chip in and provide him with generous support.
Injury riddled Cardinals push for the wildcard
The visiting team will be without David Freese and catcher Yadier Molina who missed last night as well and are unlikely to start tonight either. With these two players entering the disabled list, St. Louis needs another stellar performance from Wainwright who is trying to win his fifth consecutive decision for the first time in his career. He recently led his team past the struggling Houston, but he is being less successful against Cincinnati who defeated him twice last season.
Brandon Phillips is the player that caused him headaches in the recent fixtures, as he is beting .480 in the series played against St Louis both at home and away. Winning tonight won’t change much in the division, because the gap separating the Reds is simply to big to be covered in the remaining rounds. The impact on the wildcard race can be significant though, and with the Western division being more competitive than ever, the Cardinals are under a lot of pressure.
It is this pressure that is expected to trigger another high-scoring game, given Adam’s inability of surpassing the milestone of five consecutive victories and Homer’s lack of fitness. While going against the Reds when they play in front of their fans is never a wise choice, taking Bet365 offer for Over 8,5 runs to be scored makes perfect sense. This is expected to be the most balanced match of the series, so odds of 2.00 for the game totals should be taken gladly.