New York would normally be out of the playoffs race due to their negative record, but the fact that two wild cards are offered this year keeps their hopes alive. The Giants are in a much better position to grab one of the two wildcards, but San Francisco won’t settle for second best. Tied with the Dodgers for the lead and having the Diamondbacks within striking distance, the Giants can’t afford any more false steps.
Match: San Francisco Giants vs NY Mets
Bet: Over 6,5 runs
Odds: bet365 1.95
San Francisco has always been an excellent pitching team, but since Barry Bonds retired in 2007 the Giants have struggled offensively. They are still miles away from finding a slugger that would come even close to Bonds, but it is obvious that the management is willing to test the waters. The latest acquisition is Hunter Pence who was bought from Philadelphia after a trade that saw Nate Schierholtz departing. It is too early to say whether the tradeoff was for the better, but tonight Pence has a chance to prove his worth.
The pitcher to beat
Matt Cain is for the Giants what Lincecum was in 2011, and using him tonight greatly increases their chances to claim the top spot in the West. With 10 victories in 13 decisions, he is clearly more than a match for the Mets, but the last few starts were hardly his best. An average of three runs conceded in seven innings is below what Cain is capable off, but the real problem is what happens after Matt leaves the mound.
The first game was lost by the Giants due to an abysmal bullpen who conceded four runs in the first inning after the starting pitcher retired. Encouraging as this might be, the Mets are more worried about how will Niese fair in the first half of the match as he lost his last two starts with an 5.67 ERA. The visitors count more on Hairston, Johnson and Turner to do their scoring gig and provide Jonathon with the run support that he needs to win his 8th decision.
Sending Matt Cain to the mound is not a guarantee for victory, although San Francisco have won most of the times with this starting pitcher. The visiting team have an ace of their own ready to shut down the Giants, but once again their shouldn’t count exclusively on Jonathon Niese. Numbers can be deceiving and those who expect a low scoring game tonight shouldn’t let enthusiasm cloud their judgment. At least 7 runs will be scored and since bet365 is kind enough to offer odds of 1.95 for the Over 6,5 the decision is as good as made.