15 points separate Milwaukee from Cincinnati, but in the current series the Brewers are ahead and one victory is all they need to win three out of four games at Miller Park. The divisional rivals will meet once again before the end of the season, and the Reds are hard-pressed to win if they are to secure a wildcard for the playoffs.
Odds: Winner Sports 2.20
Both teams will use a starting pitcher that has a losing record, with the hosts trusting Willie Peralta despite losing 12 decisions and conceding an average of 4.3 runs per game. Over the last two months, he improved his numbers and split his eight decisions while posting a 2.10 ERA and some of the most impressive victories came against Cincinnati. Three of the most prolific strikers for the Reds are a combined 0.161 against him and their bats were cold as ice last night when the Brewers prevailed 2-0.
Cincinnati’s own pitcher is mired in a long losing streak against Milwaukee, conceding 7/8 games and earning more than six runs per match on average. Homer Bailey will need all the support he can get tonight, because it’s been a while since he lasted more than five innings. Usually this would be enough to give the Reds the upper hand over their opponents, but the recent bullpen struggles have aggravated their concerns. The relievers have squandered the lead in the second game of the series and were on the verge of losing the opening game as well, so they are not to be trusted.
This game looks more like a coin flip, but the bookmakers are clearly favoring Cincinnati to win, which leads to odds of 2.20 being offered for Milwaukee. Winner Sports has the best value, so this is the place to wager if you trust the Brewers and Willie Peralta to deliver a victory in the final game of the series.