Manchester City must beat Bayern Munich on Wednesday night, and then hope Napoli fail to overcome Villarreal, or their dreams of European glory are over. With the German giants already guaranteed top spot in Group A, they are likely to travel without some of their star names. How will all this affect the betting for this mouth watering clash?
Manchester City -1.5 Asian Handicap (2.6 Bet365)
Bayern Munich have Group A wrapped up. With 13 points from their 5 games thus far, they are already assured of top spot, regardless of what happens in the final round of fixtures. This means the German side can afford to rest some of their leading players and are extremely unlikely to be anywhere near full strength.
Manchester City will be very grateful for the small mercy that a weakened Munich side represents. The Citizens must win, and then hope Napoli fail to beat Villarreal in Spain – or the dream is over for the blue half of Manchester for another season. They need to come out with all guns blazing.
City also have some demons to exorcise from the first leg in Germany. That night witnessed the now infamous Carlos Tevez incident, and while the club have certainly come together and put the issue firmly behind them, victory here would be a further step towards erasing those damaging memories.
The real question is just how weak will Bayern Munich be? At 1.62, the hosts are very skinny until we have an answer, but if the German giants play an entire second XI, even that price will disappear. A better option might be via the Asian Handicap markets. Bet365 go 2.6 on Manchester City with a handicap of -1.5. City are well capable of winning by two goals, and this price looks far more attractive than the odds-on match odds offering.