The FA Cup 5th Round pitches Liverpool against Brighton, with the hosts looking to take full advantage of dumping out bitter rivals Manchester United in the previous round. The Reds however have drawn too many home games for their own liking, and Brighton have started to recover from a rather flat autumn, so will this be the stroll that many predict?

 

Advice

Draw/Liverpool in the HT/FT Market (4.8 @ Betfair)

At Anfield, Liverpool have won 4 of their 12 contests, and drawn the remaining 8. The failure to turn those draws into wins, or more accurately, that failure to break down the opposition, has meant the Reds have been losing ground in the race for Champions League qualification.

In this tie however, it is a clear indicator that Brighton might make things tougher for the hosts than many pundits predict. The roll call of sides who have held Liverpool at home includes Swansea, Stoke, Norwich and Blackburn. While Brighton sit mid-table in the Championship, they have shown enough quality this season to suggest they can make a good fist of the Anfield tie. They led English football’s second tier in early September, and since the turn of the year they have rediscovered that form, winning 4 and drawing 3 in their last 7.

In the recent League win at Wolves, Liverpool were being held 0-0 at half time, but their superior quality, and good use of a strong substitutes bench, led to a comfortable 3-0 win. A similar fate could befall Brighton, as their early endeavour takes it’s toll towards the end of the game.

Verdict

Liverpool have failed to break down too many teams this season, and Brighton could prove a tough nut to crack as well. Draw/Liverpool in the Half-time/Full-time market looks a reasonable punt at 4.8 with Betfair. The superior quality of the hosts should see them through in the end, but take the Seagulls to make it tough.