Rafael Nadal, who is once again the biggest favourite for the title, should be in for a very tough match against the world’s number fifteen, Kei Nishikori, today.

Match: Kei Nishikori vs Rafael Nadal

Rafael Nadal

Source: Rexness @ Flickr

Selection: Over 3.5 sets

Best Odds: 3.20 @ Paddy Power

It seems hard to think that Rafael Nadal might even lose that particular meeting and the chances of that happening are indeed very low, but let’s admit it – Kei Nishikori should be able to challenge the Spaniard today. He has been playing really well so far, beating Benoit Paire in four sets last time out and looking fully prepared out there.

He will naturally face all sorts of problems against Rafael Nadal, but he should be able to hold his own service games quite regularly, which should put some pressure on Nadal, who has not been serving that well in the early rounds of this year’s French Open.

It seems obvious that the Spanish legend will want to respond to Novak Djokovic doing well by getting a straightforward win somewhere, but this just doesn’t seem to be the right time for such a win. Judging from the previous meetings between the two, Nishikori can play well against Nadal and there is no doubt that he will have a specific gameplan in mind in today’s encounter. He is a guy that can hit fearless baseline shots and that is indeed the only thing that works against Nadal when it comes to the longer rallies. Shrewd bettors should therefore be looking to back Nishikori today, as the odds seem to be heavily stacked in Nadal’s favour for no apparent reason – and such situations are exactly what shrewd bettors should be looking for in these big tennis events.