The first clay court Masters tournament of the season is now taking place in Monte Carlo – and some of the second round matches look very exciting indeed.

Match: Joao Sousa vs Milos Raonic

Milos Raonic

Source: globalite @ Flickr

Selection: Joao Sousa

Best Odds: 5.23 @ Pinnacle

The upcoming clash between Joao Sousa and Milos Raonic might not be the match to draw the largest crowds, but bettors looking for value should definitely pay close attention, as that one has an upset written all over it. Raonic will be coming into the match as a very big favorite after impressing everyone in North America, but this is the part of the season in which he is bound to suffer due to the slow conditions and we believe that his bad streak is going to start in Monte Carlo. It might take a round or two, but Sousa will pose him some issues and, since this will be the Canadian’s first match on the surface in 2015, we believe that there is a lot of value in going against the world’s number six on Wednesday.

Skeptics will probably say that Raonic crushed Sousa when the two met in Oeiras back in 2011, but that was then and this is now. For starters, Sousa has made a lot of progress since then and has now established himself as a very trustworthy top 100 player that does not mind facing the big names at all. Secondly, the conditions in Oeiras have never been as slow as those in Monte Carlo, one of the very slowest events in the entire calendar. Sousa has already played and won on this surface in this season, Raonic has not – and that is bound to be a problem for the big guy.