The Barclays Premier League 2013/14 kicks off in just a few short weeks and bookmakers and punters alike are making their predictions for the coming season. While many people will study the outright markets and deliberate long and hard over what to select, there is another way – the trade.
Market: Premier League Relegation
Betting tip: Lay to Back Hull City
Best Odds: 1.75 with Betfair
Period: September 2013 to December 2013
The majority of football punters will already be getting stuck into the prices on offer for 2013/14, and almost all will have their outright bets placed well before the first whistle blows on the new Premier League season – But why? There is no law which states a bet must be struck before the first fixture, and it makes significantly more sense to have a look at the main protagonists before risking any hard earned cash. Likewise, with the advent of the betting exchanges, you no longer have to be absolutely correct in order to benefit from shrewd judgement, just generally correct. Hull City being a case in point. They are currently priced at 1.75 (3/4) for relegation. There may however, be reason to suspect those odds will rise significantly in the Autumn, and a ‘lay to back’ trade could prove profitable – even if the Tigers ultimately lose the fight for survival.
Timing is key in any trade. 1.75 looks perhaps a fraction small at present, but Hull open up with away games at Chelsea and Manchester City among their first three Premier League games. A heavy defeat in either will see them written off by pundits and that price could get smaller. That is the time to lay them for the drop. From September to the end of November, Hull have six home games, versus Cardiff, West Ham, Aston Villa, Sunderland, Crystal Palace and Liverpool. With away games at Newcastle and Southampton too, they could collect the bulk of their Premier League points during this period – whatever that total may ultimately be.
Promoted sides have made flying starts before, and the Tigers have recruited in a fashion which suggests Steve Bruce has the game plan of making them tough to beat. George Boyd has signed permanently, but it is the experience of Maynor Figueroa and Curtis Davies that compliments what was already a strong defensive unit. A solid defence gives any side hope in a survival battle and if Bruce can bring in a striker as well, the KC faithful may be full of optimism during the Autumn.
Football Betting Tip
Lay to Back Hull City in the Premier League relegation market between September and November. Current price 1.75 with Betfair.