The Swedish Allsvenskan presents a betting tip on Friday night when Helsingborg face Bromma. The hosts are gunning for the title, while their opponents are battling the drop. The match odds market has the home win as a nailed on certainty, but there is betting value elsewhere.
Match: Helsingborg v Bromma
Betting tip: Back Helsingborg -2.5 on the Asian Handicap
Best Odds: 3.1 with Bet365
Kick off: 18:05 30/08/2013
Helsingborg are priced at a horribly short 1.3 to win at home versus Bromma. While the relative merits of the two teams is significantly different, that price looks well short. The hosts have won six of ten at home and have been ruthless against sides in the bottom half of the table – but there is no value in the straight home win. There may however, be an edge in the Asian handicap prices. Helsingborg are over 2/1 to make up a -2.5 goal start. They have covered that handicap in five of their ten home games (50%) and four out of five times when hosting sides in the lower half of the Allsvenskan. They sit three points behind Malmo in the title race, and have a goal difference that is slightly superior – any opportunity to improve it further will be keenly pursued. In addition to the potent home side, Bromma have not been averse to taking a good hiding when on the road. They have conceded four or more in four of ten away trips, and lost by three or more on three occasions – and they have yet to face either of the top two away. A comprehensive home win looks slightly more likely than the handicap odds suggest, so bet with a handicap in this one.
Football Betting Tip
Back Helsingborg -2.5 on the Asian Handicap with Bet365.