Atletico Madrid is one of the most offensive minded teams in Primera Division and Radamel Falcao is a real threat even for the strongest defensives. Getafe doesn’t have such a flawless backline, but it might not have to stop the Colombian striker in his tracks as he was rested for all Copa del Rey matches this season.
Match: Getafe vs Atletico Madrid
Bet: Under 2.5 Goals
Odds: Bet365 1.90
Despite the fact that bookmakers regard Falcao as the player who is most likely to score tonight, coach Simeone will probably keep him on the bench. Even though tradition is not a guarantee for future events, the Argentinian coach has no reason to create a precedent right now. Atletico has won the first leg by 3-0 and Getafe is not the kind of team capable of offsetting such a handicap. If it wasn’t a local derby, this match would’ve been a no-brainer, with the Under 2.5 bet being self-evident.
As it is, there is always the risk for the hosts to have a stroke of pride and to push forward more than they would on a regular day. Even so, they lack quality strikers, as Alvaro and Alcaer are their leading scorers and they have only scored a combined three goals this season. Neither team has a particularly difficult match this weekend, but this doesn’t mean that they will play with the same intensity 90 minutes.
Tempting as it is to back the visitors at odds above evens, without Falcao and the motivation to win a game that has no meaning anymore, it’s better to stay away from Atletico. Bet365 presents a worthy alternative in the form of the Under 2.5 goals bet at reasonable odds of 1.90.