The Betpal Football Bet of the Day comes from Norway on Monday, with the fixture between SK Brann and Honefoss. The hosts have a very good home record, but Honefoss have already caused some upsets this season. Where is the value in this one?
Match: SK Brann v Honefoss
Bet of the Day: Under 2.5 Goals
Best Odds: 2.66 with Pinnacle
Both Brann and Honefoss boast some very strong scoring trends. Brann tend to be involved in high scoring games – their 24 matches this season have finished with 3 or more goals on 17 occasions (marginally over 70% of the time). At home, the record jumps to 83% (10 from 12). With scoring trends like those, it is little wonder the layers have made the overs as small as 1.44. Honefoss however, are involved in predominantly low scoring games. 8 of 12 games on the road (66%) having seen 2 goals or fewer, and that pattern is very similar at home as well. Given the fact that the visitors have already shown their ability to shut down some of the leading sides on their own turf (Tromso away finished 0-0, Rosenborg 0-1), the prices on offer about a low scoring game offer some value. The most likely scenario is a goal-fest – but there is a better than 38% chance that Honefoss turn this into cagey stalemate, so ‘Unders’ is the value call.
Football Bet of the Day
Back Under 2.5 goals at 2.66 with Pinnacle.