Manchester City v Watford

Manchester City play this weekend’s FA Cup final on the verge of an unprecedent domestic treble after their wins in the Carabao Cup and defending their Premier League title.

Unsurprisingly for a side that that comes into the game off the back of a 14 games unbeaten league run, and only conceded 23 goals in the 38 game league season, they are strong favourites to beat a Watford side that finished eleventh in the Premier League and who limped to the end of the season on three successive league defeats.

Odds for the match, outright, are Manchester City 1/5, the Draw 6/1 and Watford 14/1. Not much to go at there you would think. In other markets City half time/full time is 4/6 and over 2.5 goals 1-2.

Moving from team to player markets, specifically first goal scorer, and we see that obviously City players dominate the front of the betting

Aguero 14/5 (21 Premier League goals, 32 all competitions in 2018-19)
Jesus 100/30 (7 and 19 goals)
Sterling 4/1 (17 and 23 goals)

I am not sure Jesus will start (or Sane or Mahrez who are the next two in the betting)

I am specifically interested in Sterling (though equally could make a case for Bernardo Silva at 9/1 and Aymeric Laporte at 33/1 as an outsider from set-pieces) with the Watford full back Holebas suspended, and Sterling’s ability to play either flank and find space with a goal-scoring, specifically more effective finishing, impact to his game really added in the last season specifically at the far post with service provided by both Silvas and, when fit, De Bruyne.

Recommendation: Raheem Sterling first goalscorer 4-1 Bet365