The 2012 FA Cup Final will see Chelsea go up against Liverpool in an intriguing clash. The League season has ultimately been disappointing for both clubs, but cup competitions have offered some respite. Who will prevail in the Wembley show piece?
Chelsea Win 5/2 @ BetFair
It is rare for the outright markets to offer value in a show piece event with the eyes of the world watching, but the form of Chelsea makes the 5/2 about a win for the Blues look attractive. Having come through a run of incredibly difficult fixtures, the Blues not only have this final to look forward to, but also the Champions League final in Munich, after downing the colours of Catalan giants, Barcelona.
Since Andre Villa-Boas was relieved of his duties after the League loss to West Brom, Chelsea have rediscovered their best form. A loss at Manchester City was the only blemish prior to Wednesday’s defeat by Newcastle, and that run of 17 games includes recent fixtures against Arsenal and QPR where changes have been made to ensure key men are fresh for the two major finals.
In contrast, Liverpool have lurched from one poor result to another. The three wins that they have registered in their last nine came against Blackburn, Everton and Norwich. Those sides are not in the class of Chelsea, and with defeats at the hands of QPR and Wigan on their record, the Reds can not be relied upon, regardless of the importance of the occasion.
Away from the match odds, there are other prices of interest. One of significant note is on the “Man of the Match” market which BetVictor have priced up. Chelsea star Ramires is 16/1 and looks set to give a fair run at that price. Suspended for the Champions League final, the Brazilian will not be keeping anything in reserve and is in red hot form, playing a key role in both results against Barcelona. With pundits beginning to take note of his influence, odds on him winning the post match champagne look reasonable.
FA Cup Final 5th May 2012 Betting Verdict
With Chelsea high in confidence and in great form, 5/2 (Betfair) looks good. Changes have not impacted their form up to this point, so there is little reason to think they might here, and the players suspended in Europe are all likely to start hereat Wembley.