Lewis Hamilton closed the gap on Championship leader Sebastian Vettel last time out in Canada but Baku this weekend represents a different challenge

Baku’s new Tilke circuit is part tight street circuit and part a long start finish straight and so is unique in F1 terms. Whilst of course the long straight will benefit the pre-eminent Mercedes power unit (in which Rosberg won the race last year) this year’s Mercedes under the new regulations has a long wheelbase and in Monaco was not as nippy round the tight corners as the Ferrari was as Vettel and Raikkonen were the class of the field

The major challenges for Mercedes this season are two-fold a) consistency and b) picking up hauls of points on circuits that do not suit their strengths such as the tighter street circuits. One thing that does go in Mercedes’ favour here is that the tyre allocation is soft/super-soft avoiding the ultra soft compound with which they have struggled this year. This should mean a one pit stop race and put more of a premium on qualifying performance and grid position, favouring the car with the fastest single lap pace on the grid

Prices for this event have reverted to Hamilton having clear favouritism. Having been an 11/8 joint favourite last race on a track that suited the Mercedes package he is now best priced at evens here, on a track where issues for his team are far more likely. Vettel is best priced 15/8, Bottas 6/1, Raikkonen 14/1 and 50/1 bar the four drivers in the top two teams

At the prices the 15/8 offered about Vettel by BetVictor is the most attractive bet for value