This weekend sees the completion of the ERCC Pool phase and the line up for the quarter finals decided.The key games are as follows
5.30pm Munster v Exeter Chiefs
Munster lead this pool going into the final game with 17 points and three wins and a draw from their five games. They need to win here to both win the group and stand the best chance of a home draw in the quarter finals. Fortunately they have a big home advantage in Limerick and a re strong favourites to get the result they need.
Exeter convincingly beat Castres at home last week to go to 13 points. A win is necessary to have an unlikely chance to win the group but more realistically get one of the three runners up spots
I think Munster are a level above Exeter and like then -7 at 10/11 with Bet365 on the points spread
3.15pm Leicester Tigers v Ulster
Ulster beat Racing 26-22 in Belfast last Saturday a key result to put them in pole position for a runners up spot (with Racing likely to beat Scarlets at home and therefore win the group). In winger Jacob Stockdale they have the premier finisher in European rugby with six tries in five matches so far in this competition this season. With 4 wins out of five in the pool, the single loss coming in Paris they should win here at Leicester, in a long term transitional phase and with one win in five games in this competition this season
Leicester played much changed weakened team last weekend losing 33-10 at the Scarlets. Their priority now is their league form and a crucial run without their international players during the six nations and another patchwork team is likely here
I think Ulster will be far too strong, highly motivated and will cover -6 at 10/11 with Bet365.
3.15pm Toulouse v Bath
Toulouse trail Leinster by three points going into the final round of games despite winning 4 matches out of five in the pool. Leinster are likely to beat Wasps so Toulouse will need a win here to secure one of the three runners up spots.
Bath have nine points in the pool with a win and a draw in their five matches and have nothing to play for.
I think Toulouse will win and cover -7 at 10/11 with Bet365.