New Zealand took the third ODI victory, chasing 302 comfortably, to lead 2-1 going into the fourth match at Trent Bridge on Wednesday

Recommendation

David Willey: Top England Bowler at 4/1 Coral

After three games this is currently the fastest-scoring one-day series in history, with a combined run rate of over seven runs an over. Great pitches and a young England side looking to match the aggressive intent of their visitors has made for some great cricket. That a score of 302 and a modest collapse from 255-5 was greeted by disappointment on Sunday, and that New Zealand won comfortably chasing it, is more evidence that we are into new realms for ODIs under the newish regulations.

Despite being 2-1 down, there are still more positives than negatives for England. The bowling is very much a work in progress and the fielding at Southampton disappointing, but they have stuck to their new approach and the response from supporters is justifiably positive

The Fourth game on Wednesday is at Trent Bridge. After the withdrawals of Jordan and Plunkett on one side and most notably of all Trent Boult on the other, the two bowling attacks have an unfamiliar and inexperienced look. Both sides look far more potent in batting than in bowling. Combine this with the regulations and the likelihood of another good pitch and high scoring looks a probability once again.

With New Zealand once more 4/6 in the game outright and England 6/5 yet so much depending on winning the toss and batting, a look again at sub-markets for value

Looking at the England bowling attack of Finn, Willey, Wood, Stokes and Rashid both Willey and Wood impressed at Southampton. A characteristic of Trent Bridge since the new stand went up at the Radcliffe road end, enclosing the ground on three sides by tall stands, is swing for the new ball.  Amongst the England bowlers David Willey swung the ball at Southampton, and regularly does the same in county cricket early in one day innings’.  He has a good slower ball too, and the most variety of any of the English bowlers in this attack. Bowling at the start and near the end of the innings gives him ample opportunity to take wickets, and he took three at Southampton

Conditions at Trent Bridge may suit more of the same and the best prices in the Top England bowler market are as follows:

Finn 3/1

Wood 7/2

Rashid 4/1

Willey 4/1

Stokes 9/2

Finn is the most experienced, but needs quick pitches to make the most of his height and the bounce he can generate. Rashid should be the outsider of the five, bowling in the middle overs usually at set batsmen on pitches offering little spin assistance.  Stokes only bowled five overs at Southampton, his bowling more of a work in progress than his batting.

Which leaves Wood and Willey. Here the advantage Willey has from being given the new ball means he should be a shorter price than Wood. As we can see, he isn’t and theirin lies the value opportunity

Recommendation

David Willey: Top England Bowler at 4/1 Coral