Manchester City take their unbeaten record to Stamford Bridge on Monday night in the game of the week. Chelsea have seemingly come through a spell of indifferent result and rediscovered their best form. Was the Valencia master class a sign that Chelsea are back to their best, or will City brush them aside?
Under 2.5 Goals (2.14 @ Betfair)
Big match trends
Throughout this Premier League season, the matches between the heavyweight sides have seen a deluge of goals – 8-2, 6-1, 5-3, these are unfamiliar scorelines, but the entertainment has been sensational.
There are signs however, that the cavalier, open styles of the leading sides might be being reconsidered. Roberto Mancini has recently hinted that he has become disappointed with the regularity with which City concede, and defensive solidity is his new priority. The recent away draw at Liverpool saw a more circumspect City, and away from home the Citizens will see avoiding defeat as relative success.
Chelsea enjoyed a rebirth in their Champions League win against Valencia. With Frank Lampard dropping to the bench, the Blues set up in an organised, disciplined formation, looking to hit Valencia on the break with pace and power. The more defensive mindset appeared to settle the centre half pairing of David Luiz and John Terry, and the home side restricted the visiting Spaniards to just a handful of half chances throughout the 90 minutes. The change in approach was stark – and it was so effective and successful that Andre Villas-Boas will be almost compelled to use it again on Monday.
With the bookmakers leaning towards another high scoring match, this could be the time to go against the crowd and take the 2.14 with Betfair on Under 2.5 goals. Chelsea have a slight edge according to the match odds market (2.5 various), but there is little value to be had there and betting on a cagey contest where neither side want to over commit players looks like a good value option.