The first semifinal of the Confederations Cup will pit Brazil against Uruguay, so it is certain that one South American team with make the final. Brazil won all three games so far and has a dominant head to head record, making it a favorite among both bookmakers and punters.
Bet: Brazil -1.5 Goals
Odds: Intertops 2.00
Brazil was the dominant force in Group A but struggled in the final match against Italy, conceding two goals while scoring four of their own. The sudden defensive weakness is worrisome ahead of this fixture, as their opponents could once again start with three strikers. Suarez, Forlan and Cavani were used together in two games but coach Tabarez was reluctant to start with three forwards against Spain. There is a good chance for Uruguay to feature only two strikers in the first half and resort to Forlan only if the hosts take an early lead.
Past performance proved that the best way to deal with Uruguay is by exercising continuous pressure on their backline, so that they have less time to send accurate passes to the three strikers. In its quest of recapturing World Cup glory, Brazil is using younger players and coach Scolari changed his team often at this edition of the Confederations Cup. Don’t be fooled by the 4-5-1 starting formation featuring Fred upfront because Hulk, Neymar and Oscar are just as dangerous and they are right behind him.
Brazil won all three games in this competition by at least two goals, which makes it hard to resist the even odds offered by Intertops for the hosts to do it again. Uruguay doesn’t fare well when playing against a world-class team and it would come as no surprise if they fail to cover the +1.5 spread.