Saturday will see Liverpool travel to face Bolton in the Premier League. While the Reds still harbour ambitions of Champions League qualification, Bolton dream only of survival, and with an abysmal home record, they need an urgent upturn in fortunes at the Reebok Stadium.
Under 2.5 Goals (Evens @ Bet365)
A 2-0 FA Cup replay win against League Two Macclesfield saw the return of Kevin Davies to the Bolton starting eleven, and he responded with a goal. While a win against lower League opposition is hardly awe inspiring, it is a rare success for the long suffering Reebok Stadium faithful, who have so far witnessed Bolton lose a staggering 8 of their 10 home League games.
With Gary Cahill finally completing his protracted move to Chelsea, Bolton fans may wonder if their defence could get any worse after seeing 24 goals fly in against their team at home. That dismal level of performance is only matched by the Wanderers strikers, who have mustered just 11 home goals – with 5 of those coming against a Stoke side out on their feet after Europa League exertions back in the Autumn.
For the seventh time at home, Liverpool were unable to win a match that they dominated, drawing 0-0 with Stoke last time out. While the absence of Luis Saurez can be used as a partial excuse, similar stalemates were endured before his suspension began, and Anfield has only witnessed 14 goals at home – 19 less than bitter rivals Manchester United have bagged at Old Trafford. A similar story follows Liverpool away from home, with just 10 scored in the same number of games.
The reason then, for the Reds still being anywhere near the Champions League hunt, is not goal scoring, but defensive solidity. They have conceded just 18 goals in 21 fixtures, with 10 of those coming away from home. Spectacular, they are not.
Goals do not look likely here. Bolton will struggle to break down Liverpool full stop, and the Reds have their own problems in front of goal since Saurez accepted his suspension. The Even money about Under 2.5 goals with Bet365 looks very backable despite the hapless Bolton defence. Liverpool winning to Nil is another option along the same lines.