The first match without Falcao ended in disaster as Atletico Madrid lost away at Bilbao without scoring a goal. They need a better effort at home if they are to outshine Sevilla and move further in Copa del Rey, but once again they will be deprived by the offensive outburst of their most prolific striker.
Match: Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla
Bet: Sevilla of Draw
Odds: Bet365 2.05
Atletico Madrid will only miss Radamel Falcao tonight, but his absence is crushing, as the striker scored almost half of the team’s total number of goals. He picked up an injury in the 2-0 victory over Levante and since then his team failed to win a match, while scoring a single goal in two games. The intangible is the home pitch record, as Atletico won all 11 games played at Estadio Vincente Calderon in the Primera Division, while conceding just six goals.
Sevilla is a very hard nut to crack this days even if it plays away, and the hosts will have an increasingly difficult mission without Falcao. Their opponents are on an offensive prowess and scored seven goals on route to winning the most recent games in both Primera Division and Copa del Rey. There is no better opportunity of securing a passage to the finals than today when their rivals miss their most prolific striker. Coach Emery is aware of this and he will field an offensive 4-4-2 squad with Negredo and Manu upfront.
My recommendation is to go against the current and back the visitors not to lose this match, because Falcao is an essential wheel in Atletico’s grand machine. Bet365 offers odds of 2.05 for the visitors not to lose at Estadio Vincente Calderon and in this context there is huge value in any odds above evens.