If this fixture would’ve taken place in Primera Division, backing the hosts at full stakes would’ve been a no-brainer, but the question is how will Atletico perform in Copa del Rey. So far, they have good reasons to be confident in their home pitch performance, but Betis is the best team they have faced yet in this competition.
Match: Atletico Madrid vs Betis Sevilla
Bet: Atletico Madrid Halftime/Fulltime 1/1
Odds: Bet365 2.05
One of the main reasons for why punters are reluctant to back Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey matches is that they are frequently playing without their top scorer. Falcao was kept on the bench by coach Simeone in pretty much every cup game, and there are good reasons to expect him to start as a reserve. Assuming that Diego Costa and Adrian will pair up front, the hosts will lack the competitive edge over Betis, but their real strength is in the midfield.
It’s been quite a while since Madrid had all its midfielders fit to play, but tonight is such an occasion and the hosts are going to make the most of it. If we are to take the most recent game as an indicator, then we are also entitled to expect Falcao to play from the first minute, although it is unlikely for him to remain on the pitch for the entire game. In the opposite corner, the visitors are fielding a 4-5-1 formation with either Castro and Molina upfront.
The bottom line is that Betis will have to shift between the two aging strikers, while Atletico will probably give Falcao the chance to score in the first half. In this context the best choice would be a halftime/fulltime bet, priced at 2.05 by Bet365.