Arsenal entertain QPR as part of a hectic festive schedule. With the Gunners anxious to break back into the top four, and Rangers keen to arrest a recent slump in form, there should be some value in this London derby.
Arsenal Win and 3+ goals in the match (8/11 at Ladbrokes – ‘Quatro’ Market)
Arsenal have put a strong run of results together since their early season wobbles. Defeats away at Spurs and Manchester City have been the only blemishes in an otherwise impressive recovery.
Defensive injuries have hampered the Gunners of late, particularly at left back, but Arsene Wenger’s men have still managed to carve out results. The home draw with Wolves last time out was frustrating for the North Londoners, but the ‘Shots on target’ statistics were 17 to 4 in favour of the home side – hardly the catalyst for panic at the Emirates Stadium.
QPR have not enjoyed much of the last few weeks, with just 1 win in 9, and plenty of goals being shipped. The early optimism created by some chunky spending has evaporated – Joey Barton in particular has not had the expected impact on the Rangers midfield. A 1-1 draw at the Liberty Stadium versus Swansea leaves the hoops just 3 points from the Premier League trap door.
Confidence is also unlikely to be helped by Manager Neil Warnock’s admission that he needs to bring players in come January to halt his team’s slump. The current squad now know he deems them not good enough for this level. Not ideal when facing Arsenal – and Robin van Persie – in solid form.
The match odds see Arsenal as worthy 2/7 favourites. By combining Gunners success with the ‘Over/Under’ market, it is possible to back the home side at 4/5 with 3 or more goals. This bet is available via Ladbrokes ‘Quatro’ market. Although Arsenal have been involved in games with more than 3 goals less than half the times they have played at home, a reaction to the Wolves draw is expected, and QPR have seen plenty of goals on their travels, including a 6-0 humbling at Craven Cottage. So the 4/5 offers sufficient value.