The new Premier League season starts on Friday 11th August .Chelsea are the defending league champions, they won last season by 7 points and no less than 15 points ahead of third place and are looking for their third title in the last four years.

The new Premier League season starts on Friday 11th August .Chelsea are the defending league champions, they won last season by 7 points and no less than 15points ahead of third place and are looking for their third title in the last four years. Buoyed by the still new broadcasting deal the Premier League clubs have for the most part been investing heavily in their squads, with up to £1bn net set to be spent by the end of the August transfer window.

Current best odds in the outright market are as follows

Manchester City 15/8
Chelsea 7/2
Manchester United 7/2
Tottenham Hotspur 10/1
Arsenal 12/1
Liverpool 14/1
Bar 80/1

Each way terms at three places one fifth the odds are available at Bet365 and Skybet

Realistically, even accepting the recent outlier result of a Leicester City winning the title in 2015-16, we can restrict discussion of a possible winner (or even top three finisher for each way markets) to the top six sides in the current outright market with the financial and squad resources they have it is unlikely there is a winner outside these clubs.

Chelsea have added Tiemoue Bakayoko, Alvaro Morata and Antonio Rudiger and have moved on from Costa. With the Champions league back on the agenda, the champions are without one of the big advantages they had last season. No European football meant they didn’t need to rotate and a schedule with fewer games made a big difference.

Manchester City finished in 3rd place last season 15 points behind Chelsea. Over £200m has been invested from goalkeeper, through multiple full backs and midfielders and this activity, in expectation that the renowned attacking flair will be combined with the defensive solidity that was lacking last season, has seen them installed as under 2/1 favourites.

Manchester United were in a transitional phase in Mourinho’s first season, often struggling to dispatch teams but they too have been heavy spenders this off-season notably with the arrival of Romelu Lukaku from Everton, who lead the league with 29 goals last season. The recruitment of Matic should be significant, not only protecting the back four but in releasing Pogba to play further forward as he does for the French national team

Tottenham finished runners up last season and are fourth in the outright market this time. With Kane, Alli and Eriksen in place, supported by a very solid defence and a host of emerging younger players they look a tempting price. A couple of concerns are the absence of any activity in the transfer market, which whilst laudable given values leaves them exposed if they suffer important injuries and second playing their home games at Wembley all season, on a wide pitch with a first choice team that relies on full backs for width.

For Arsenal Alexandre Lacazette comes over from France to supplement a squad that still contains Sanchez but probably lacks the strength in key areas to challenge right at the top of the league.

Liverpool brought over Mohamed Salah from AS Roma and he complements the likes of Coutinho and Firmino in a potent attacking line up. Whether they can make the leap into the top two in this competitive a top six with still question marks at centre back and goalkeeper I doubt.

Recommendation:

Manchester City do look the most likely winners but that is factored into odds of less than 2/1. Manchester United at 7/2 with Lukaku’s goals and Pogba playing forther forward look the most obvious alternative to me. They can be backed at 7/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral