The USPGA at Whistling Straits starting on Thursday is the third of this years majors to be played on a links-style course. The event is previewed here:

Recommendations

Jason Day 16/1 Paddy Power each-way ( ¼ 1,2,3,4,5,6)

Brooks Koepka 50/1 Betfair Sportsbook each way ( ¼ 1,2,3,4,5,6)

There is often a strong correlation between players who go well in the WGC- Bridgestone Invitational and the USPGA the week after. Rory McIlroy did the double last year, as did Tiger Woods regularly. Unexpected USPGA winners Keegan Bradley and Y E Yang made the top-20 at Firestone too

In the eight USPGA majors since the Bridgestone was moved forward in the schedule to be played first, the worst result of any PGA champion was Martin Kaymer’s 22nd place in 2010, before he went on to win at this year’s venue Whistling Straits.

Whistling Straits is very different from most USPGA venues. Normally at this time of year, the US tour would be playing on parkland courses with fast greens providing the principal challenge. In contrast, Whistling Straits in Wisconsin is more like a links, exposed and peppered with bunkers. Holes hug Lake Michigan, from which the wind whips off, there are grass covered dunes, steep elevation changes and deep pot bunkers.

This will be third straight major played on a links-style course so, considering the form is still fresh, the last two majors may be the most relevant results to study.

Historically, the PGA has been the likeliest major to produce a first-time major winner, and the 2010 Whistling Straits USPGA was dominated by non-major winners It tends to produce very close contests. 23 players finished within five of the lead in 2004 and 15 were within five shots in 2010. Both tournaments produced play-offs.

So, putting together some of these variables and looking for

-         players who did well at the last two majors on links courses

-         players who contended at WGC Bridgestone

-         Big hitters. Whistling Straits is a long course with Par 5 holes that offer the birdie opportunities that will make the difference between contending and not

-         Potentially first time major winners

I arrived at

Jason Day 16/1 Paddy Power each-way ( ¼ 1,2,3,4,5,6)

Day is long overdue to win a major with three top three finishes, and finished in the top ten at Chambers Bay and St Andrews before winning in Canada. He finished tied for 12th at Bridgestone and has two top ten finishes at the USPGA itself

Brooks Koepka 50/1 Betfair Sportsbook each way ( ¼ 1,2,3,4,5,6)

Koepka is a big hitter who finished tied for 6th at Bridgestone with four rounds under 70 and shot 68 in the final round at St Andrews to finish in the top ten.Finished in the top 20 at the USPGA last year. Another golfer near to that breakthrough result